| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? |
未知 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$97539 |
$14002 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? |
未知 |
0.021 |
0.980 |
$88023 |
$1817 |
详情 ↗ |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? |
未知 |
0.044 |
0.956 |
$81942 |
$11526 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
未知 |
0.715 |
0.285 |
$83227 |
$7172 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
结算中 |
0.043 |
0.957 |
$88605 |
$9704 |
详情 ↗ |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? |
结算中 |
0.018 |
0.983 |
$7948509 |
$13973 |
详情 ↗ |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
结算中 |
0.375 |
0.625 |
$90645 |
$7931 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? |
结算中 |
0.031 |
0.969 |
$88667 |
$21118 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
结算中 |
0.014 |
0.986 |
$88117 |
$12272 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
结算中 |
0.030 |
0.970 |
$85474 |
$16116 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
结算中 |
0.182 |
0.818 |
$93405 |
$4892 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? |
结算中 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$86348 |
$17299 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? |
结算中 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$86047 |
$16922 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12? |
60时0分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$85294 |
$16023 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? |
76时0分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$95727 |
$69532 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? |
76时0分 |
0.215 |
0.785 |
$88974 |
$36142 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? |
76时0分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$79341 |
$63715 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? |
76时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$79286 |
$46726 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? |
76时0分 |
0.032 |
0.969 |
$82671 |
$42709 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$97782 |
$2852 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.004 |
0.996 |
$97356 |
$13064 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
228时0分 |
0.989 |
0.011 |
$951679 |
$11280 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.015 |
0.986 |
$94990 |
$22578 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? |
228时0分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$89512 |
$17254 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? |
228时0分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$862535 |
$35295 |
详情 ↗ |
| Trump out as President by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$8232176 |
$311140 |
详情 ↗ |
| French election called by June 30, 2026? |
228时0分 |
0.009 |
0.991 |
$82318 |
$4945 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.017 |
0.984 |
$82115 |
$11223 |
详情 ↗ |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$81266 |
$29002 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.026 |
0.974 |
$79119 |
$2437 |
详情 ↗ |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.014 |
0.986 |
$859605 |
$23518 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.038 |
0.962 |
$85348 |
$4897 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? |
228时0分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$852400 |
$37005 |
详情 ↗ |
| Another Canada election called by June 30? |
228时0分 |
0.006 |
0.994 |
$85001 |
$9780 |
详情 ↗ |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? |
228时0分 |
0.043 |
0.957 |
$84110 |
$21153 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? |
228时0分 |
0.332 |
0.668 |
$909547 |
$37360 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? |
255时59分 |
0.910 |
0.090 |
$86108 |
$26545 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? |
255时59分 |
0.260 |
0.740 |
$91900 |
$2651 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? |
419时59分 |
0.130 |
0.870 |
$86117 |
$25222 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? |
420时0分 |
0.926 |
0.074 |
$82030 |
$19686 |
详情 ↗ |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? |
972时0分 |
0.015 |
0.986 |
$942324 |
$12491 |
详情 ↗ |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026? |
984时0分 |
0.910 |
0.090 |
$85944 |
$47085 |
详情 ↗ |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? |
984时0分 |
0.515 |
0.485 |
$830220 |
$12908 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
2028时0分 |
0.006 |
0.994 |
$99734 |
$13632 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
2028时0分 |
0.725 |
0.275 |
$94255 |
$21735 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
2100时0分 |
0.015 |
0.985 |
$95006 |
$51540 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
2100时0分 |
0.061 |
0.939 |
$87042 |
$86031 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
2100时0分 |
0.012 |
0.988 |
$81214 |
$56672 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
2436时0分 |
0.024 |
0.977 |
$88298 |
$57771 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
2436时0分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$838265 |
$198104 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
2436时0分 |
0.024 |
0.976 |
$918630 |
$101503 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
2448时0分 |
0.860 |
0.140 |
$83466 |
$50486 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.045 |
0.955 |
$97906 |
$28681 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$9718170 |
$1184295 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.003 |
0.997 |
$96706 |
$20321 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$95968 |
$14595 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.545 |
0.455 |
$81643 |
$30389 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
2532时0分 |
0.011 |
0.989 |
$86086 |
$21455 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
2676时0分 |
0.006 |
0.994 |
$990506 |
$112186 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
2676时0分 |
0.006 |
0.994 |
$946010 |
$67969 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
2676时0分 |
0.004 |
0.996 |
$847650 |
$104053 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
2676时0分 |
0.021 |
0.980 |
$828361 |
$84154 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
3252时0分 |
0.380 |
0.620 |
$94660 |
$12532 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? |
3252时0分 |
0.840 |
0.160 |
$86004 |
$3015 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? |
3252时0分 |
0.955 |
0.045 |
$92695 |
$12703 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? |
4116时0分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$79370 |
$10697 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$99858 |
$56301 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.033 |
0.968 |
$970460 |
$46689 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$963655 |
$46091 |
详情 ↗ |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.150 |
0.850 |
$96186 |
$14261 |
详情 ↗ |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.110 |
0.890 |
$95648 |
$22869 |
详情 ↗ |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.074 |
0.925 |
$954068 |
$96643 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.205 |
0.795 |
$95021 |
$15703 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? |
4644时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$949464 |
$16768 |
详情 ↗ |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? |
4644时0分 |
0.060 |
0.940 |
$94537 |
$9533 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.055 |
0.945 |
$888651 |
$103724 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.017 |
0.984 |
$887712 |
$110410 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.105 |
0.895 |
$88523 |
$14754 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$8834776 |
$235598 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.082 |
0.918 |
$86953 |
$45908 |
详情 ↗ |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.036 |
0.964 |
$81789 |
$12262 |
详情 ↗ |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.085 |
0.915 |
$80920 |
$39508 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.005 |
0.995 |
$80418 |
$34482 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.115 |
0.885 |
$80124 |
$17516 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.026 |
0.974 |
$79215 |
$13316 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.927 |
0.072 |
$858812 |
$113707 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$85238 |
$11460 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.340 |
0.660 |
$84690 |
$8131 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
4644时0分 |
0.445 |
0.555 |
$84665 |
$14911 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.030 |
0.970 |
$83863 |
$3093 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
4644时0分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$836191 |
$115885 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.541 |
0.459 |
$93720 |
$20626 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$93664 |
$58332 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
4644时0分 |
0.003 |
0.997 |
$93545 |
$73470 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? |
4644时0分 |
0.004 |
0.996 |
$933213 |
$82850 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
4644时0分 |
0.019 |
0.981 |
$927631 |
$16651 |
详情 ↗ |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.075 |
0.925 |
$92351 |
$20892 |
详情 ↗ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.095 |
0.905 |
$9177076 |
$308400 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
4644时0分 |
0.320 |
0.680 |
$91131 |
$5416 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? |
7524时0分 |
0.006 |
0.994 |
$974878 |
$188879 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
7524时0分 |
0.195 |
0.805 |
$947443 |
$160629 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
7524时0分 |
0.075 |
0.925 |
$815423 |
$116781 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.009 |
0.992 |
$9977948 |
$1271303 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.017 |
0.984 |
$9782867 |
$356407 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
20892时0分 |
0.005 |
0.995 |
$977970 |
$1808656 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$9540703 |
$1903490 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.021 |
0.979 |
$8974447 |
$572960 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.050 |
0.951 |
$8886164 |
$491823 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.019 |
0.981 |
$8843530 |
$453249 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
20892时0分 |
0.585 |
0.415 |
$822847 |
$220001 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$8224991 |
$1711895 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.013 |
0.987 |
$8128549 |
$508369 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.011 |
0.990 |
$7978642 |
$876839 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
20892时0分 |
0.048 |
0.953 |
$7949113 |
$357704 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
20892时0分 |
0.017 |
0.984 |
$8569029 |
$719737 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
20892时0分 |
0.234 |
0.765 |
$9320467 |
$230151 |
详情 ↗ |