| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
未知 |
0.525 |
0.475 |
$99840 |
$25904 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
未知 |
0.490 |
0.510 |
$93626 |
$34857 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
结算中 |
0.142 |
0.858 |
$90647 |
$1021 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
结算中 |
0.729 |
0.272 |
$88007 |
$3517 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
结算中 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$92819 |
$31497 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
结算中 |
0.989 |
0.011 |
$903453 |
$111191 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? |
5时6分 |
0.560 |
0.440 |
$86105 |
$6198 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
5时6分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$93959 |
$56538 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? |
77时6分 |
0.002 |
0.998 |
$89642 |
$43251 |
详情 ↗ |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
301时6分 |
0.015 |
0.985 |
$95508 |
$55308 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? |
305时5分 |
0.029 |
0.972 |
$97257 |
$11560 |
详情 ↗ |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
325时5分 |
0.955 |
0.045 |
$89864 |
$59214 |
详情 ↗ |
| Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31? |
325时5分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$93552 |
$16655 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
445时6分 |
0.994 |
0.006 |
$90801 |
$76440 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
613时6分 |
0.967 |
0.034 |
$96403 |
$81273 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
613时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$936709 |
$111147 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
685时6分 |
0.009 |
0.992 |
$9378289 |
$943698 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
781时6分 |
0.155 |
0.845 |
$96548 |
$53095 |
详情 ↗ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
1021时6分 |
0.023 |
0.977 |
$93946 |
$76338 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
1021时6分 |
0.032 |
0.969 |
$93681 |
$4648 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
1045时1分 |
0.090 |
0.910 |
$91072 |
$5051 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? |
1045时5分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$88520 |
$66822 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
1117时6分 |
0.635 |
0.365 |
$8650180 |
$552107 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
1117时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$9946622 |
$321793 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1261时6分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$866725 |
$94371 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1261时6分 |
0.026 |
0.974 |
$905056 |
$79162 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1261时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$904449 |
$124409 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? |
1837时6分 |
0.955 |
0.045 |
$88781 |
$12004 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
1837时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$87728 |
$16291 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
1837时6分 |
0.905 |
0.095 |
$93640 |
$21105 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? |
1837时6分 |
0.945 |
0.055 |
$93610 |
$15841 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? |
2701时6分 |
0.004 |
0.996 |
$87683 |
$21608 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
3229时6分 |
0.229 |
0.771 |
$96293 |
$12668 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$944785 |
$94950 |
详情 ↗ |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
3229时6分 |
0.285 |
0.715 |
$94287 |
$5287 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.044 |
0.956 |
$94261 |
$36391 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
3229时6分 |
0.115 |
0.885 |
$88473 |
$18080 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.070 |
0.930 |
$87519 |
$7260 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.895 |
0.105 |
$86592 |
$26019 |
详情 ↗ |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.095 |
0.905 |
$86301 |
$11127 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
3229时6分 |
0.065 |
0.935 |
$98923 |
$29797 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.005 |
0.995 |
$918142 |
$98388 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
3229时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$9174731 |
$231356 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
3229时6分 |
0.029 |
0.971 |
$936364 |
$23201 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? |
3229时6分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$93247 |
$51350 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
3229时6分 |
0.295 |
0.705 |
$92698 |
$1382 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
3251时6分 |
0.090 |
0.910 |
$92059 |
$15375 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
3253时5分 |
0.115 |
0.885 |
$86677 |
$24178 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
3253时5分 |
0.018 |
0.982 |
$994764 |
$76413 |
详情 ↗ |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
3253时5分 |
0.055 |
0.945 |
$98946 |
$28397 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? |
12013时5分 |
0.125 |
0.875 |
$99211 |
$2177 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19477时6分 |
0.035 |
0.965 |
$9707392 |
$488105 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.017 |
0.984 |
$9570850 |
$648845 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.050 |
0.951 |
$9550488 |
$508110 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$948077 |
$1569832 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19477时6分 |
0.585 |
0.415 |
$946074 |
$193158 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19477时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$8718585 |
$1972232 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19477时6分 |
0.036 |
0.964 |
$8714360 |
$337233 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$8699087 |
$1693792 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$890843 |
$631370 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$8884085 |
$1931004 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19477时6分 |
0.022 |
0.978 |
$9420210 |
$381080 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
21253时6分 |
0.630 |
0.370 |
$89702 |
$32913 |
详情 ↗ |